Saturday, August 18, 2007

Today's Thoughts....

What can I say? A total disaster wouldn't be too harsh a word me thinks! After yesterday's great results we get a total stinker like today. -7.00 points on the backing systems and another 2.34 points lost on the place-lays. The only saving grace is that the trend lays are still going great guns and at short prices as well.
I think we can now safely knock the place-lays into touch as the system is definitely not working. In fact I should turn it into a PLACE system!! Also, come the end of August, a couple of the backing systems will be culled I think. Some are just not performing as intended and it's hard work choosing all the selections, getting the results and then updating tables and the like. I think it's pretty obvious which one's will get the boot but who knows what will happen by the end of August?

Today's Results (Sat 18 Aug 2007)

Today's Selections
(Red=loss, Blue=win)

System 1
No selection

System 2
17:30 Lingfield OUR HERBIE Unp@2/1

System 3
13:55 Newmarket ATHEER DUBAI Unp@6/4
18:30 Lingfield MAJOR WILLY 3rd@1/2

System 4
19:10 Market Rasen VAUGHAN Fell@Evns

System 5
15:55 Newbury BURNING INCENSE Unp@7/2
18:00 Lingfield PELHAM CRESCENT Unp@15/8
19:30 Lingfield BOLLYWOOD 2nd@12/1

System 6
No selection


20-25 Day System
No selection


4,5,6 System
No selection


Trend Lays
14:05 Ripon HARRISON GEORGE Unp@3/1


Place-Lay System
17:40 No bet, joint 3rd favs
18:10 PEAK SEASONS 3rd@8/1 (place 2.08)
18:40-
19:10-
19:40 BRINKMANSHIP 1st@9/2 (place 2.26)
20:20 No bet, joint 3rd favs

Today's Selections ( Sat 18 Aug 2007)

Today's Selections

System 1
No selection

System 2
17:30 Lingfield OUR HERBIE (7/2)

System 3
13:55 Newmarket ATHEER DUBAI (2/1)
18:30 Lingfield MAJOR WILLY (4/6)

System 4
19:10 Market Rasen VAUGHAN (13/8)

System 5
15:55 Newbury BURNING INCENSE (4/1)
18:00 Lingfield PELHAM CRESCENT (3/1)
19:30 Lingfield BOLLYWOOD (16/1)

System 6
No selection


20-25 Day System
No selection


4,5,6 System
No selection


Trend Lays
14:05 Ripon HARRISON GEORGE


Place-Lay System
New tactics today. Lay clear 3rd favs at Market Rasen but only with the following conditions eliminated:
No race with 8-9 runners
No 3m-3m1f races
No 2m4f-2m5f races
No 8 year old horses
No mares or fillies
Not finished 2nd LTO
Must not have run between 10-14 days ago

How viable this will be, only time will tell. I can tell you that 3rd favs at Market Rasen have a place strike rate of 42.5%. With the conditions above eliminated, this falls to 27.4%.