Place-laying System

Well, that was a great start to this trial- not one selection qualified.

Ascot 15:30----------No bet. Reason: 2 jt 3rd favs
Newmarket 17:05----No bet. Reason: 4 Nr's reduced field to 6
Ayr 18:20-----------No bet. Reason: 2 Nr's reduced field to 7
Ayr 20:50-----------No bet: Reason: 2 jt 3rd favs


If a race has more than 8 runners betfair pays three places (4 places for handicaps over 16 runners). If a field is reduced to 7 runners or less due to non runners, withdrawals etc, betfair still pays out on the three places, so obviously in situations like this a bet is definitely a no-no.
This is one system that really excites me as I hold out high expectations for it. Time will obviously tell...

System Updates (Sat 11 Aug)

System 1
Today: 2 Bet= -2.00pt
Total: 9 Bet= 2 Win/ 3 Placed/ 4 Unp
Total Profit: -2.88pts
SR: +22.22%
ROI: -32.00%

System 2
Today: No selection
Total: 12 Bets= 6 Wins/ 6 Unp
Total Profit: +4.21pts
SR: +50.00%
ROI: +35.08%

System 3
Today: No selection
Total: 20 Bets= 8 Win/ 6 Placed/ 6 Unp
Total Profit: -0.74pts
SR: +40.00%
ROI: -3.70%

System 4
Today: No selection
Total: 3 Bet= 1 Win/ 2 Placed
Total Profit: -1.09pts
SR: +33.33%
ROI: -36.33%

System 5
Today: 2 Bets= -2.00pts
Total: 44 Bets= 8 Win/ 10 Placed/ 26 Unp
Total Profit: -7.75pts
SR: +18.18%
ROI: -17.61%

System 6
Today: 2 Bet= +5.00pts
Total: 37 Bets= 15 Wins/ 6 Placed/ 16 Unp
Total Profit: +39.88pts
SR: +40.54%
ROI: +107.78%


TODAY'S OVERALL POINTS TOTAL (SYS 1-6): +1.00pt


OVERALL TO DATE (Combined Results-sys 1-6)

Total: 125 Bets= 40 Wins/ 67 Placed (incl. winners)/ 58 Unp
Total Profit: +31.63pts
SR: +32.00%
(Place SR: +53.60%)
ROI: +25.30%




20-25 Day System

Today: No selection
Total: 3 Bet= 2 Win/ 0 Placed/ 1 Unp
Total Profit: +3.50 pts
SR: +66.67%
ROI: +116.67%

4,5,6 System

Today: 1 Bet= -1.00pt
Total: 2 Bet= 0 Wins/ 0 Placed/ 2 Unp
Total Profit: -2.00pt
SR: +0.00%
ROI: -100.00%

Today's Results (Sat 11 Aug)

Today's Selections

System 1
14:30 Redcar LADY RANGALI Unp@4/1
17:35 Newmarket SMART ASS 2nd@13/8

System 2
No selection

System 3
No selection

System 4
No selection

System 5
13:45 Ascot DARK MISSILE 2nd@9/2
17:35 Newmarket SMART ASS 2nd@13/8

System 6
14:20 Ascot GENKI 1st@6/4
17:50 Ayr ARCTIC CAPE 1st@7/2



20-25 Day System
No selection


4,5,6 System
13:55 Redcar DAWN LIGHT Unp@7/2


A severe case of seconditus prevented a cracking day. Better than yesterday, anyhow, with system 6 back to its healthy self!!

Danny & Tony's Lays- Sat 11 August (Evening)

Lingfield
19:10 THE FIFTH MEMBER / OUR RUBY
19:40 FRISKY TALK
20:10 MAKE MY DREAM / ENDLESS SUMMER

Ayr
19:20 SOTO
20:20 GALA SUNDAY / PLAYTHEAUDIENCE

New Idea- Place-laying

Last year I toyed with a place-laying system with mixed results. They were mixed results profit wise, I think, due to the reason I wasn't betting them properly. By this I mean I came up with the stupid idea of martingaling my bets up to the first three races. If race one came in for me, well, hunky dory, that was me for the day. Obviously if I had to go to races two and (especially) three, liabilities started to rise dramatically as I wanted to cover my losses but also make my x amount for the day. I got caught out a couple of times and it hurt!
Now I've come to realise that if I had played level stakes or percentage betting I probably would have been well in. So what I've decided to do is give it another bash but with a twist.
Using the Massey favourite (and NOT the ratings) reports, I'm going to place-lay 3rd favourites that satisfy certain criteria that come out in the reports. Obviously this is just a trial at the moment and as I may not be around all the time to monitor the betfair prices I will use Masseys Odds Analyser to get my odds for the selections. Obviously if I'm around I will use the real price but will stipulate this in the results.

Right, today has thrown up these races, so the CLEAR 3rd favourite will be place-layed. If its not clear 3rd rated then no bet:

Ascot 15:30
Newmarket 17:05
Ayr 18:20
Ayr 20:50

Danny & Tony's Lay System- Saturday 11 August

Today's possible lays (don't forget prices have to be 10.00 or under on the exchanges, approx. 8/1 SP).


Haydock
2.00 TEXAS GOLD
4.50 ALLEVIATE

Ascot
2.20 LIPOCCO


These are the selections so far. If there are any for the evening cards I will update accordingly later.

Today's Selections- Saturday 11 August 2007

Today's Selections

System 1
14:30 Redcar LADY RANGALI (7/2)
17:35 Newmarket SMART ASS (2/1)

System 2
No selection

System 3
No selection

System 4
No selection

System 5
13:45 Ascot DARK MISSILE (7/2)
17:35 Newmarket SMART ASS (2/1)

System 6
14:20 Ascot GENKI (3/1)
17:50 Ayr ARCTIC CAPE (3/1)



20-25 Day System
No selection


4,5,6 System
13:55 Redcar DAWN LIGHT (9/2)


I think after yesterdays whitewash we'd better keep our finger's crossed today!